User:Alexander L. Davis/Notebook/Backdating/2013/04/01: Difference between revisions
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* Complaint that there is not enough info to make the estimates. | * Complaint that there is not enough info to make the estimates. | ||
* Confidence in stories is still very high. | * Confidence in stories is still very high. | ||
* Cannot assess the accuracy of Story One. | |||
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The question "How similar are the actual prices of coal between 1980 and 2010 to what you would predict based on Story Two?" is a bit confusing because you don't have anything to base the second story on other than assumption. You have no way of knowing if the prices will go up or down. | |||
There is no way to answer the question "What was the average price of coal in the United States in 1990?" accurately with the information given | |||
==Corrections== | ==Corrections== |
Revision as of 07:56, 2 April 2013
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Entry title
Comments
Unexpected Observations
New Hypotheses
Current Protocol
Current Materials
New DataParticipant 1
Your survey was a bit confusing mainly due to the lack of information. I was simply guessing answers for the price of coal. I had no knowledge about past prices and so could only guess about future prices. So my confidence level was not high at all on my answers, which made it difficult to provide coherent explanations for my reasoning. Other than that I did not find the survey that difficult. Participant 2
Faults
The question "How similar are the actual prices of coal between 1980 and 2010 to what you would predict based on Story Two?" is a bit confusing because you don't have anything to base the second story on other than assumption. You have no way of knowing if the prices will go up or down. There is no way to answer the question "What was the average price of coal in the United States in 1990?" accurately with the information given Corrections
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