User:Alexander L. Davis/Notebook/Backdating/2013/04/02

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==Comments==
==Comments==
-
* Coal Price Predictions (~72% up):
+
* Coal Price Predictions (~78% up):
**Up predictions: 18
**Up predictions: 18
**Down predictions: 3  
**Down predictions: 3  
-
**No Change: 2
+
**No Change (NC): 2
-
*Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/18 (28%)
+
*Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/23 (~25%)
-
*Bad Explanations: 12/18 (66%)
+
*Bad Explanations: 12/23 (~50%)
**Mentions inflation: 4
**Mentions inflation: 4
**Just says supply and demand: 8
**Just says supply and demand: 8
 +
*Increased confidence after UP/NC predictions: 11/19
 +
*Perfect confidence in explanation: 2/20
==Unexpected Observations==
==Unexpected Observations==

Revision as of 15:22, 2 April 2013

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Entry title

  • Pretest 6

Comments

  • Coal Price Predictions (~78% up):
    • Up predictions: 18
    • Down predictions: 3
    • No Change (NC): 2
  • Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/23 (~25%)
  • Bad Explanations: 12/23 (~50%)
    • Mentions inflation: 4
    • Just says supply and demand: 8
  • Increased confidence after UP/NC predictions: 11/19
  • Perfect confidence in explanation: 2/20

Unexpected Observations

  • Insert content here...

New Hypotheses

  • Insert content here...

Current Protocol

  • Insert content here...

Current Materials

  • Insert content here...

New Data

Participant 1

  • Favorable to big text.
  • Wanted information on desirable story length.
  • Suggested changing story to explanation.
  • Wanted it to be called "your story"
  • Wanted warning on how important/needed estimates would be.
  • Wanted uneditable boxes.
  • Wanted real coal prices on top of page rather than bottom.
  • Misunderstanding with prediction check.

Participant 2

  • Suggested more difficult quality checking questions. Question One is definitely too easy.
  • Suggested the second similarity question is unnecessary.

Faults

  • Question checks too easy.
  • Boxes should be uneditable.

Corrections

  • Changed it to "your story"
  • Provided information about story length.
  • Made attention checks on a separate page. Made the last one more difficult.



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