User:Alexander L. Davis/Notebook/Backdating/2013/04/03: Difference between revisions
From OpenWetWare
No edit summary |
|||
Line 10: | Line 10: | ||
==Comments== | ==Comments== | ||
* | * 11/11 expected the price to go up. | ||
* 1/11 was non-monotonic (dipped in one time period). | |||
* 1/11 incorrectly thought inflation should affect answers. | |||
* Stories were better. | |||
* 1/11 started with 100% confidence in theory. | |||
* 2/11 gave initial similarity judgments that were not correct. | |||
* 1/11 stuck with the same theory (no change in prices). This person was less confident the second time around. | |||
* 6/9 who changed their theories increased confidence. 2/9 had no change. Only 1/9 who changed theories decreased confidence. | |||
* 2/11 thought the predictions were from 2020-2040. | |||
* The correlation between changes in similarity of the theories to data and changes in confidence was low (tau=.20) | |||
* The correlation between final confidence and confidence in predictions was also low (tau=.20). | |||
==Unexpected Observations== | ==Unexpected Observations== |
Revision as of 10:30, 3 April 2013
Project name | <html><img src="/images/9/94/Report.png" border="0" /></html> Main project page <html><img src="/images/c/c3/Resultset_previous.png" border="0" /></html>Previous entry<html> </html>Next entry<html><img src="/images/5/5c/Resultset_next.png" border="0" /></html> |
Entry title
Comments
Unexpected Observations
New Hypotheses
Current Protocol
Current Materials
New DataParticipant 1
Participant 2
Faults
Corrections
|